Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 60.65%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 18.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 1-0 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for a Chelmsford City win it was 1-2 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnet would win this match.
Result | ||
Barnet | Draw | Chelmsford City |
60.65% ( -0.09) | 20.88% ( 0.01) | 18.47% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 56.06% ( 0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.34% ( 0.08) | 40.66% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.95% ( 0.08) | 63.04% ( -0.08) |
Barnet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.01% ( -0) | 12.98% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.51% ( -0) | 39.49% |
Chelmsford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.42% ( 0.13) | 35.57% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.65% ( 0.14) | 72.34% ( -0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Barnet | Draw | Chelmsford City |
2-1 @ 9.95% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.63% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 9.43% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 6.77% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.55% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.46% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.34% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.41% 5-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.47% Total : 60.65% | 1-1 @ 9.75% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 20.88% | 1-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 4.77% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.47% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.68% Total : 18.47% |
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