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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 44.65%. A win for Farnborough Town had a probability of 29.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Farnborough Town win was 0-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chelmsford City | Draw | Farnborough Town |
44.65% ( -0.23) | 25.81% ( 0.24) | 29.54% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 52.77% ( -0.77) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.87% ( -1) | 51.13% ( 1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.02% ( -0.88) | 72.98% ( 0.88) |
| Chelmsford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.17% ( -0.53) | 22.83% ( 0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.44% ( -0.79) | 56.56% ( 0.79) |
| Farnborough Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.39% ( -0.52) | 31.62% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.98% ( -0.61) | 68.02% ( 0.61) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelmsford City | Draw | Farnborough Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.66% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 9.07% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 4.46% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 3.88% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.11% Total : 44.65% | 1-1 @ 12.27% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.28)2-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.81% | 0-1 @ 8.31% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 7.07% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.79% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.82% Total : 29.54% |
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