SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 41.55%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 35.73% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.06%) and 0-2 (5.31%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 2-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chelsea | Draw | Inter Milan |
35.73% ( 0.4) | 22.73% ( 0.08) | 41.55% ( -0.48) |
| Both teams to score 66.16% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.31% ( -0.3) | 34.69% ( 0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.36% ( -0.34) | 56.64% ( 0.34) |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.05% ( 0.06) | 19.95% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.89% ( 0.1) | 52.11% ( -0.1) |
| Inter Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.64% ( -0.32) | 17.35% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.25% ( -0.56) | 47.75% ( 0.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelsea | Draw | Inter Milan |
| 2-1 @ 7.88% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 4.5% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 4.23% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.71% 3-0 @ 2.42% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.71% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.49% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.24% Total : 35.73% | 1-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 6.9% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.46% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.43% Total : 22.73% | 1-2 @ 8.56% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.06% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 5% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 4.03% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 3.1% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 2.19% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 1.76% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.04)3-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.24% Total : 41.55% |
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