SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 55.53%. A win for FC Twente Women had a probability of 22.84% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.12%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest FC Twente Women win was 1-2 (5.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.81%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chelsea Women | Draw | FC Twente Women |
55.53% ( 3.47) | 21.63% ( -1.18) | 22.84% ( -2.29) |
| Both teams to score 60.55% ( 1.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62% ( 3.08) | 38% ( -3.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.74% ( 3.21) | 60.26% ( -3.21) |
| Chelsea Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.35% ( 2.21) | 13.65% ( -2.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.16% ( 4.22) | 40.84% ( -4.23) |
| FC Twente Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.13% ( -0.18) | 29.87% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.04% ( -0.22) | 65.96% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelsea Women | Draw | FC Twente Women |
| 2-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 8.12% ( -0.55)2-0 @ 8.09% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 6.48% ( 0.53)3-0 @ 5.37% ( 0.47)3-2 @ 3.92% ( 0.3)4-1 @ 3.23% ( 0.49)4-0 @ 2.67% ( 0.42)4-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.29)5-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.28)5-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.23)Other @ 3.59% Total : 55.53% | 1-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.71) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.08% ( -0.63)3-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.12)Other @ 0.26% Total : 21.63% | 1-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.47) 0-1 @ 4.93% ( -0.79)0-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.5)1-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.2)2-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.21)Other @ 3.04% Total : 22.84% |
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