With just one point separating the two sides, we expect Friday's contest to be a closely-fought affair, and with that in mind, we think that Cheltenham may have to settle for a draw for a third consecutive home match.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 40.19%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 33.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cheltenham Town in this match.
-0.07) 
0.08) 
