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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 46.21%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 28.84% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Colchester United | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
46.21% ( -0.69) | 24.95% ( 0.46) | 28.84% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 55.12% ( -1.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.14% ( -1.87) | 47.86% ( 1.87) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.96% ( -1.75) | 70.04% ( 1.75) |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.25% ( -1.05) | 20.76% ( 1.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.61% ( -1.68) | 53.39% ( 1.68) |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.56% ( -0.8) | 30.44% ( 0.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.36% ( -0.96) | 66.64% ( 0.96) |
| Score Analysis |
| Colchester United | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.93% ( 0.45) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 7.81% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 4.87% ( -0.2)3-0 @ 4.09% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.19)4-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.15)4-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.66% Total : 46.21% | 1-1 @ 11.81% ( 0.28) 0-0 @ 6.32% ( 0.48)2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.17)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.95% | 0-1 @ 7.52% ( 0.41) 1-2 @ 7.03% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.47% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.08% Total : 28.84% |
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