Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesham United win with a probability of 50.37%. A win for Hampton & Richmond had a probability of 25.83% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesham United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Hampton & Richmond win was 1-2 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Chesham United in this match.
Result | ||
Chesham United | Draw | Hampton & Richmond |
50.37% ( 0.11) | 23.8% ( -0.04) | 25.83% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 56.49% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.06% ( 0.11) | 44.94% ( -0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.7% ( 0.11) | 67.3% ( -0.11) |
Chesham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.1% ( 0.09) | 17.9% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.3% ( 0.15) | 48.7% ( -0.15) |
Hampton & Richmond Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.8% ( 0) | 31.19% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.47% ( 0.01) | 67.53% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Chesham United | Draw | Hampton & Richmond |
2-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.61% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.26% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.52% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.74% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.22% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.37% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.04% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.61% Total : 50.37% | 1-1 @ 11.19% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.61% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.59% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.8% | 1-2 @ 6.52% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.51% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.53% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.18% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.83% Total : 25.83% |
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