SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 38.47%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 36.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.89%) and 2-0 (5.86%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Chicago Fire in this match.
| Result | ||
| Chicago Fire | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
38.47% ( 0.12) | 24.6% ( -0.01) | 36.94% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 59.21% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.22% ( 0.04) | 43.78% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.83% ( 0.04) | 66.17% ( -0.04) |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.35% ( 0.08) | 22.65% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.71% ( 0.12) | 56.29% ( -0.11) |
| Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.56% ( -0.04) | 23.45% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.55% ( -0.06) | 57.45% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chicago Fire | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
| 2-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.89% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.2% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.05% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.9% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.31% Total : 38.47% | 1-1 @ 11.43% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.16% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.31% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.47% ( 0)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.59% | 1-2 @ 8.3% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.7% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.01% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.98% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.08% ( -0)0-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.15% Total : 36.94% |
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