Both DC United and Chicago Fire have struggled defensively this term, and we expect neither of them to come away with a clean sheet from this one. That said, we are also backing the home side to see off the threat of their visitors and emerge triumphant in the end.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 49.59%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 27.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 1-2 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
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