SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 42.43%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 34.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.08%) and 2-0 (5.95%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 1-2 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chicago Fire | Draw | New England Revolution |
42.43% ( -1.3) | 23.45% ( -0.11) | 34.12% ( 1.42) |
| Both teams to score 62.97% ( 0.92) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.31% ( 1) | 38.68% ( -0.99) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.01% ( 1.04) | 60.99% ( -1.04) |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.37% ( -0.14) | 18.63% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.06% ( -0.24) | 49.93% ( 0.24) |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.38% ( 1.27) | 22.61% ( -1.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.76% ( 1.84) | 56.23% ( -1.84) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chicago Fire | Draw | New England Revolution |
| 2-1 @ 8.84% ( -0.16) 1-0 @ 7.08% ( -0.37)2-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.34)3-1 @ 4.95% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 3.68% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 3.33% ( -0.21)4-1 @ 2.08% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.55% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.09)Other @ 3.56% Total : 42.43% | 1-1 @ 10.52% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 6.57% ( 0.12)0-0 @ 4.21% ( -0.2)3-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.45% | 1-2 @ 7.82% ( 0.18) 0-1 @ 6.26% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 3.88% ( 0.23)2-3 @ 3.26% ( 0.18)0-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.15)1-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.14)2-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.11)Other @ 3.29% Total : 34.12% |
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