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Major League Soccer
May 26, 2024 at 3.30am UK
Dignity Health Sports Park
HD

LA Galaxy
2 - 1
Houston

Pec (44'), Puig (60')
Brugman (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Blessing (18')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlotte FC 0-0 LA Galaxy
Sunday, May 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Houston 1-1 Dallas
Sunday, May 19 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Los Angeles Galaxy 2-2 Houston Dynamo

LA Galaxy are the favourites here but their form of late has been questionable and they have struggled to put games to bed from winning positions. Indeed, Houston have also been way below their best this season but they have shown improvement in the last few weeks and we feel they will be able to earn a share of the spoils in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 53.03%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 25.84% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.62%) and 3-1 (6.46%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 1-2 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Los Angeles Galaxy in this match.

Result
Los Angeles GalaxyDrawHouston Dynamo
53.03% (0.0080000000000027 0.01) 21.13%25.84% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Both teams to score 66.09% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.68% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)32.32% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.06% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)53.94% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.5% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)12.49% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.52%38.48%
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.52% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)24.48% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.07% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)58.93% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles Galaxy 53.03%
    Houston Dynamo 25.84%
    Draw 21.13%
Los Angeles GalaxyDrawHouston Dynamo
2-1 @ 9.31% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 6.62% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 6.46% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-0 @ 6.36% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 4.59% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 4.54% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 3.36% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 2.39% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 2.36%
5-1 @ 1.4%
4-3 @ 1.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 0.99%
5-2 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 53.03%
1-1 @ 8.95% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 6.55% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 3.06% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-3 @ 2.13% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 21.13%
1-2 @ 6.3% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 4.3% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 3.07% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 3.03%
1-3 @ 2.96% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.42% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.08%
1-4 @ 1.04% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 25.84%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Charlotte FC 0-0 LA Galaxy
Sunday, May 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 2-2 LA Galaxy
Thursday, May 16 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 2-2 Salt Lake
Sunday, May 12 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Seattle 0-0 LA Galaxy
Sunday, May 5 at 11.45pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Austin 2-0 LA Galaxy
Saturday, April 27 at 6.45pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 4-3 Earthquakes
Monday, April 22 at 1.15am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Houston 1-1 Dallas
Sunday, May 19 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Austin 1-0 Houston
Thursday, May 16 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Kansas 1-2 Houston
Sunday, May 12 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Houston 0-0 St Louis City
Sunday, May 5 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 2-0 Houston
Sunday, April 28 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Houston 0-1 Austin
Sunday, April 21 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer


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