SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 55.31%. A win for Dallas had a probability of 23.18% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.86%) and 1-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Dallas win was 1-2 (5.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Dallas |
55.31% ( 0.27) | 21.51% ( -0.04) | 23.18% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 61.47% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63% ( -0.06) | 37.01% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.81% ( -0.07) | 59.19% ( 0.07) |
| Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.61% ( 0.06) | 13.39% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.69% ( 0.13) | 40.31% ( -0.12) |
| Dallas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.97% ( -0.22) | 29.03% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.07% ( -0.28) | 64.93% ( 0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Dallas |
| 2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.06)1-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 6.51% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 5.27% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.27% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.65% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 2.03% 5-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.78% Total : 55.31% | 1-1 @ 9.67% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.01% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.29% Total : 21.51% | 1-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 4.81% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.26% Total : 23.18% |
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