Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 39%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 36.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.11%) and 0-2 (6.02%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 2-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.
Result | ||
Chicago Fire | Draw | Columbus Crew |
36.27% (![]() | 24.73% (![]() | 39% (![]() |
Both teams to score 58.7% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.57% (![]() | 44.43% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.2% (![]() | 66.8% (![]() |
Chicago Fire Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.9% (![]() | 24.1% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.61% (![]() | 58.39% (![]() |
Columbus Crew Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.33% (![]() | 22.67% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.69% (![]() | 56.31% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Chicago Fire | Draw | Columbus Crew |
2-1 @ 8.21% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.77% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.53% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.89% 3-2 @ 2.89% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.62% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.39% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.03% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 0.93% ( ![]() Other @ 2% Total : 36.27% | 1-1 @ 11.53% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.09% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.46% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.43% ( ![]() Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.72% | 1-2 @ 8.56% (![]() 0-1 @ 8.11% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.02% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.24% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.01% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.98% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.57% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.12% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.11% ( ![]() Other @ 2.29% Total : 39% |
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