Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 57.69%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 20.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a Toluca win it was 0-1 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club America would win this match.
Result | ||
Club America | Draw | Toluca |
57.69% ( 0.38) | 22.19% ( -0.13) | 20.11% ( -0.24) |
Both teams to score 54.53% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.92% ( 0.27) | 44.08% ( -0.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.53% ( 0.26) | 66.46% ( -0.26) |
Club America Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.98% ( 0.22) | 15.01% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.51% ( 0.41) | 43.48% ( -0.4) |
Toluca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.16% ( -0.09) | 35.84% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.38% ( -0.09) | 72.61% ( 0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Club America | Draw | Toluca |
1-0 @ 10.2% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.67% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.27% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.22% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.97% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 2.9% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.53% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.66% Total : 57.69% | 1-1 @ 10.47% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.38% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.19% | 0-1 @ 5.52% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.84% Total : 20.11% |
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