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Liga MX | 1st Leg
Nov 28, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Azteca

America
2 - 0
Toluca

Aguirre (67', 82')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Violante (21')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Club America and Toluca.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tijuana 2-2 America (2-3 pen.)
Friday, November 22 at 3am in Liga MX
Next Game: Toluca vs. America
Friday, November 29 at 11pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 4-0 America
Sunday, November 10 at 1am in Liga MX
Next Game: Toluca vs. America
Friday, November 29 at 11pm in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 57.69%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 20.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a Toluca win it was 0-1 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club America would win this match.

Result
Club AmericaDrawToluca
57.69% (0.38 0.38) 22.19% (-0.133 -0.13) 20.11% (-0.242 -0.24)
Both teams to score 54.53% (0.062000000000005 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.92% (0.271 0.27)44.08% (-0.266 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.53% (0.262 0.26)66.46% (-0.258 -0.26)
Club America Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.98% (0.218 0.22)15.01% (-0.214 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.51% (0.407 0.41)43.48% (-0.40300000000001 -0.4)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.16% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09)35.84% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.38% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)72.61% (0.096999999999994 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Club America 57.69%
    Toluca 20.11%
    Draw 22.19%
Club AmericaDrawToluca
1-0 @ 10.2% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.93% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.67% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.27% (0.053 0.05)
3-0 @ 6.11% (0.067 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.22% (0.019 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.97% (0.047 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.9% (0.053 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.53% (0.02 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.13% (0.026 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.1% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 57.69%
1-1 @ 10.47% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 5.38% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.09% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.1% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.19%
0-1 @ 5.52% (-0.079 -0.08)
1-2 @ 5.37% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-2 @ 2.83% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.84% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.74% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 0.97% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 20.11%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Tijuana 2-2 America (2-3 pen.)
Friday, November 22 at 3am in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 4-0 America
Sunday, November 10 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: America 2-1 Pachuca
Thursday, November 7 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Mazatlan 0-5 America
Saturday, November 2 at 3am in Liga MX
Last Game: America 2-1 Monterrey
Monday, October 28 at 2.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tijuana 2-2 America
Thursday, October 24 at 4.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 4-0 America
Sunday, November 10 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tigres 2-1 Toluca
Thursday, November 7 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 2-2 Club Leon
Saturday, November 2 at 11pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 1-3 Toluca
Monday, October 28 at 12am in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 5-0 Puebla
Wednesday, October 23 at 4.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Queretaro 0-1 Toluca
Saturday, October 19 at 2am in Liga MX


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