Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 57.31%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 21.44% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.4%) and 1-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Toluca win was 1-2 (5.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.66%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club America would win this match.

Result
Club America	Draw	Toluca
57.31% ( -0.4)	21.24% ( 0.37)	21.44% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 59.95% (

-1.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.09% (

-1.74)

37.9% (

1.74)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.84% (

-1.88)

60.16% (

1.88)

Club America Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.91% (

-0.68)

13.08% (

0.67)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.3% (

-1.4)

39.69% (

1.39)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.97% (

-0.97)

31.03% (

0.96)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.66% (

-1.15)

67.34% (

1.14)

Score Analysis

Club America 57.31%

Toluca 21.44%

Draw 21.24%

Club America	Draw	Toluca
2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 8.4% ( 0.27) 1-0 @ 8.26% ( 0.47) 3-1 @ 6.66% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.9% ( -0.18) 4-1 @ 3.39% ( -0.16) 4-0 @ 2.89% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.15) 5-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.1) 5-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.76% Total : 57.31%	1-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.31) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 4.06% ( 0.33) 3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.25% Total : 21.24%	1-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 4.75% ( 0.27) 0-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.73% Total : 21.44%