SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 65.92%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Club Leon had a probability of 15.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.47%) and 1-0 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.46%), while for a Club Leon win it was 1-2 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Toluca | Draw | Club Leon |
65.92% ( 0.47) | 18.58% ( -0.11) | 15.5% ( -0.37) |
| Both teams to score 57.86% ( -0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.72% ( -0.25) | 35.27% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.7% ( -0.28) | 57.29% ( 0.28) |
| Toluca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.01% ( 0.05) | 9.98% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.01% ( 0.1) | 32.99% ( -0.1) |
| Club Leon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.28% ( -0.61) | 35.72% ( 0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.51% ( -0.63) | 72.49% ( 0.63) |
| Score Analysis |
| Toluca | Draw | Club Leon |
| 2-1 @ 9.75% 2-0 @ 9.47% ( 0.16)1-0 @ 8.22% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 7.49% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.13)4-1 @ 4.31% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 4.19% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.99% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.04)5-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.22% Total : 65.92% | 1-1 @ 8.46% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.22% Total : 18.58% | 1-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 3.67% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.36% Total : 15.5% |
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