Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 51.51%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Queretaro had a probability of 23.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Queretaro win it was 0-1 (7.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Leon would win this match.