Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queretaro win with a probability of 43.32%. A win for Club Leon had a probability of 30.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queretaro win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Club Leon win was 0-1 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
0.33) 
-0.63) 
