Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 62.99%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Queretaro had a probability of 16.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.66%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.81%), while for a Queretaro win it was 0-1 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Leon would win this match.
0.13) 
-0.03) 
