SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Tijuana win with a probability of 40.84%. A win for Pachuca had a probability of 33.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Tijuana win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Pachuca win was 0-1 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Tijuana would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Club Tijuana | Draw | Pachuca |
40.84% ( 0.09) | 25.86% ( 0.04) | 33.31% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 54.21% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.02% ( -0.2) | 49.98% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.04% ( -0.18) | 71.96% ( 0.18) |
| Club Tijuana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.8% ( -0.05) | 24.2% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.46% ( -0.06) | 58.53% ( 0.06) |
| Pachuca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.52% ( -0.18) | 28.48% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.75% ( -0.22) | 64.25% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Club Tijuana | Draw | Pachuca |
| 1-0 @ 9.78% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.71% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.94% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.12% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.28% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.46% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.16% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.87% Total : 40.84% | 1-1 @ 12.28% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.89% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.47% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.86% | 0-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.71% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.69% Total : 33.31% |
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