Liga MX | Gameweek 10
Sep 29, 2024 at 2.05am UK
Estadio Hidalgo
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Pachuca and Cruz Azul.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 46.71%. A win for Pachuca had a probability of 27.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (8.7%). The likeliest Pachuca win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruz Azul would win this match.
| Result |
| Pachuca | Draw | Cruz Azul |
27.04% ( -0.41) | 26.24% ( -0.24) | 46.71% ( 0.65) |
| Both teams to score 49.84% ( 0.43) |
| 45.84% ( 0.69) | 54.16% ( -0.7) |
| 24.43% ( 0.58) | 75.57% ( -0.58) |
| 64.87% ( 0.04) | 35.12% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.12% ( 0.04) | 71.88% ( -0.05) |
| 76.83% ( 0.61) | 23.16% ( -0.61) |
