Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Tijuana win with a probability of 47.56%. A win for Club Leon had a probability of 28.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Tijuana win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Club Leon win was 0-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Tijuana would win this match.
0.42) 
-0.1) 
