Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Tijuana win with a probability of 37.89%. A win for Monterrey had a probability of 36.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Tijuana win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Monterrey win was 0-1 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.