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Liga MX | Gameweek 11
Oct 5, 2024 at 4am UK
Estadio Caliente

Tijuana
2 - 1
Pachuca

Alvarez (67'), Reynoso (90+4')
Castaneda (30'), Hernandez (43'), Diaz (71'), Monarrez Ochoa (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Gomez (80' og.)
Deossa (30'), Gonzalez (31'), Mena (79'), Andres Gil Mosquera (83')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Club Tijuana and Pachuca.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tijuana 1-0 Mazatlan
Saturday, September 28 at 4.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Pachuca 2-4 Cruz Azul
Sunday, September 29 at 2.05am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Tijuana win with a probability of 40.84%. A win for Pachuca had a probability of 33.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Tijuana win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Pachuca win was 0-1 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Tijuana would win this match.

Result
Club TijuanaDrawPachuca
40.84% (0.087000000000003 0.09) 25.86% (0.038999999999998 0.04) 33.31% (-0.126 -0.13)
Both teams to score 54.21% (-0.166 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.02% (-0.197 -0.2)49.98% (0.196 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.04% (-0.178 -0.18)71.96% (0.178 0.18)
Club Tijuana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.8% (-0.045999999999992 -0.05)24.2% (0.044 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.46% (-0.064 -0.06)58.53% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Pachuca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.52% (-0.176 -0.18)28.48% (0.176 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.75% (-0.221 -0.22)64.25% (0.22 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Club Tijuana 40.84%
    Pachuca 33.31%
    Draw 25.86%
Club TijuanaDrawPachuca
1-0 @ 9.78% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
2-1 @ 8.71% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 6.94% (0.038 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.12% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-0 @ 3.28% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.59% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.16% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 40.84%
1-1 @ 12.28% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.89% (0.055 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.47% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.86%
0-1 @ 8.66% (0.026 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.71% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.44% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.23% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.29% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.28% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.01% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 33.31%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Tijuana 1-0 Mazatlan
Saturday, September 28 at 4.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Pumas 1-0 Tijuana
Monday, September 23 at 12am in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 4-0 Tijuana
Saturday, September 14 at 11.45pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Tijuana 2-1 Club Leon
Saturday, August 31 at 4.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tijuana 2-2 Monterrey
Saturday, August 24 at 4.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tijuana 2-2 Monterrey
Saturday, August 24 at 4.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Pachuca 2-4 Cruz Azul
Sunday, September 29 at 2.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Puebla 2-3 Pachuca
Saturday, September 21 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Pachuca 2-2 Toluca
Wednesday, September 18 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Atlas 2-0 Pachuca
Saturday, September 14 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Pachuca 1-1 Queretaro
Sunday, September 1 at 12am in Liga MX
Last Game: Mazatlan 3-0 Pachuca
Saturday, August 24 at 3am in Liga MX


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