SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 58.84%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Cobresal had a probability of 18.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.29%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a Cobresal win it was 1-0 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cobresal | Draw | Sao Paulo |
18.92% ( -0.03) | 22.24% ( 0.1) | 58.84% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 52.35% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.01% ( -0.48) | 45.98% ( 0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.71% ( -0.46) | 68.29% ( 0.46) |
| Cobresal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.8% ( -0.31) | 38.2% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.04% ( -0.3) | 74.96% ( 0.3) |
| Sao Paulo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.71% ( -0.19) | 15.29% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56% ( -0.35) | 44% ( 0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cobresal | Draw | Sao Paulo |
| 1-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 5.08% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.63% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.36% Total : 18.92% | 1-1 @ 10.55% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.23% | 0-1 @ 10.96% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 10.29% ( 0.07)1-2 @ 9.91% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 6.45% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 6.21% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 3.03% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 2.91% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.03)0-5 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.1% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.44% Total : 58.82% |
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