Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada Women win with a probability of 38.79%. A win for Colombia Women had a probability of 32.28% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Canada Women win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.82%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Colombia Women win was 1-0 (11.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Canada Women in this match.