SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 35.73%. A win for Colon had a probability of 35.19% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.43%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Colon win was 1-0 (12.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Racing Club would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Colon | Draw | Racing Club |
35.19% ( -0.36) | 29.08% ( 0.16) | 35.73% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 44.64% ( -0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.89% ( -0.54) | 62.11% ( 0.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.18% ( -0.4) | 81.82% ( 0.4) |
| Colon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.63% ( -0.52) | 33.37% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.01% ( -0.58) | 69.99% ( 0.57) |
| Racing Club Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.99% ( -0.15) | 33.01% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.4% ( -0.17) | 69.6% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Colon | Draw | Racing Club |
| 1-0 @ 12.08% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 7.35% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 6.64% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 2.69% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.5% Total : 35.18% | 1-1 @ 13.39% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 11.01% ( 0.22)2-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.6% Total : 29.07% | 0-1 @ 12.2% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 7.43% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.77% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.58% Total : 35.72% |
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