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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 39.43%. A win for Racing Club had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Racing Club win was 0-1 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Racing Club |
39.43% ( 0.15) | 26.91% ( -0.05) | 33.66% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 50.91% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.75% ( 0.2) | 54.24% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.35% ( 0.16) | 75.64% ( -0.17) |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.1% ( 0.17) | 26.9% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.78% ( 0.23) | 62.21% ( -0.24) |
| Racing Club Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.64% ( 0.03) | 30.36% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.45% ( 0.04) | 66.55% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Racing Club |
| 1-0 @ 10.72% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.39% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 7.04% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.67% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.11% Total : 39.42% | 1-1 @ 12.78% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.17% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.91% | 0-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 7.62% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.03% 0-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.9% ( 0)Other @ 2.29% Total : 33.66% |
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