SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 54.75%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Racing Club had a probability of 22.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Racing Club win it was 0-1 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Flamengo in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Flamengo.
| Result | ||
| Flamengo | Draw | Racing Club |
54.75% ( 0.49) | 23.03% ( -0.1) | 22.21% ( -0.39) |
| Both teams to score 54.85% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.85% ( 0.01) | 45.14% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.51% ( 0.01) | 67.49% ( -0.01) |
| Flamengo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.62% ( 0.17) | 16.38% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.99% ( 0.31) | 46.01% ( -0.31) |
| Racing Club Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.59% ( -0.35) | 34.4% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.88% ( -0.38) | 71.11% ( 0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Flamengo | Draw | Racing Club |
| 1-0 @ 10.19% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 9.22% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 5.94% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.69% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 2.52% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.32% Total : 54.75% | 1-1 @ 10.87% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.63% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.03% | 0-1 @ 6.01% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.12% Total : 22.21% |
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