Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Concarneau win with a probability of 45.33%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 30.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Concarneau win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Troyes win was 1-2 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Concarneau would win this match.
0.01) 
-0.02) 
