Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angers win with a probability of 45.81%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 28.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Angers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-2 (7.9%). The likeliest Troyes win was 1-0 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Angers would win this match.
-0.08) 
0.11) 
