Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Consadole Sapporo win with a probability of 47.81%. A win for Yokohama F Marinos had a probability of 29.6% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Consadole Sapporo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.04%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Yokohama F Marinos win was 1-2 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Yokohama F Marinos would win this match.
Result | ||
Consadole Sapporo | Draw | Yokohama F Marinos |
47.81% ( 0.77) | 22.6% ( -0.24) | 29.6% ( -0.52) |
Both teams to score 63.9% ( 0.55) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.46% ( 0.87) | 36.54% ( -0.87) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.31% ( 0.94) | 58.69% ( -0.94) |
Consadole Sapporo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.3% ( 0.61) | 15.69% ( -0.6) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.24% ( 1.11) | 44.76% ( -1.11) |
Yokohama F Marinos Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.79% ( 0.11) | 24.21% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.45% ( 0.15) | 58.55% ( -0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Consadole Sapporo | Draw | Yokohama F Marinos |
2-1 @ 9.24% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.04% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 6.51% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.71% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 4.05% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 4.02% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 2.64% ( 0.11) 4-2 @ 1.87% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 1.86% ( 0.07) 5-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.89% Total : 47.81% | 1-1 @ 9.98% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 6.55% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 3.8% ( -0.16) 3-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.35% Total : 22.6% | 1-2 @ 7.08% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 5.39% ( -0.22) 0-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.1% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.77% Total : 29.6% |
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