SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Copenhagen win with a probability of 61.54%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Aarhus had a probability of 17.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Copenhagen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 1-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for an Aarhus win it was 1-2 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Copenhagen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Copenhagen | Draw | Aarhus |
61.54% ( 0.6) | 20.64% ( -0.22) | 17.81% ( -0.38) |
| Both teams to score 55.6% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.35% ( 0.34) | 40.65% ( -0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.97% ( 0.35) | 63.03% ( -0.35) |
| Copenhagen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.28% ( 0.28) | 12.72% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.05% ( 0.57) | 38.95% ( -0.57) |
| Aarhus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.7% ( -0.22) | 36.29% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.92% ( -0.23) | 73.08% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Copenhagen | Draw | Aarhus |
| 2-1 @ 9.95% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.81% ( 0.05)1-0 @ 9.52% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 6.84% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 6.75% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 3.53% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 3.48% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 3.47% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.45% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.54% Total : 61.54% | 1-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 20.64% | 1-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 4.68% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.52% Total : 17.81% |
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