Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 42.52%. A win for Internacional had a probability of 29.17% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.34%) and 2-1 (8.31%). The likeliest Internacional win was 0-1 (10.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
-0.12) 
0.01) 
