Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuiaba win with a probability of 48.8%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Internacional had a probability of 23.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cuiaba win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Internacional win it was 0-1 (9.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
-0.15) 
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