Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 46.4%. A win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 27.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest Athletico Paranaense win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Corinthians in this match.
0.01) 
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