Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 71.32%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 10.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.37%) and 3-0 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.68%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (4.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bragantino would win this match.
0.55) 
-0.31) 
