Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 61.14%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 15.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.51%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
0.04) 
-0.01) 
