Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 41.69%. A win for Corinthians had a probability of 31.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (7.4%). The likeliest Corinthians win was 1-0 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
-0.34) 
0.37) 
