Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 60.98%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 16.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.46%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.
