Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 38.3%. A win for Corinthians had a probability of 32.87% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.8%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Corinthians win was 1-0 (11.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.