Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 39.42%. A win for Corinthians had a probability of 31.35% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.79%) and 0-2 (7.74%). The likeliest Corinthians win was 1-0 (11.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Palmeiras in this match.
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0.02) 
