SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 41.75%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 35.92% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.61%) and 1-3 (5.08%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 2-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Ipswich Town in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Ipswich Town.
| Result | ||
| Coventry City | Draw | Ipswich Town |
35.92% ( 0.01) | 22.32% ( -0.01) | 41.75% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 67.77% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.4% ( 0.05) | 32.6% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.74% ( 0.06) | 54.26% ( -0.06) |
| Coventry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.09% ( 0.03) | 18.91% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.59% ( 0.05) | 50.41% ( -0.04) |
| Ipswich Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.58% ( 0.02) | 16.42% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.92% ( 0.04) | 46.08% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Coventry City | Draw | Ipswich Town |
| 2-1 @ 7.78% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.17% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.32% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.31% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.9% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.39% 4-1 @ 1.8% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.62% ( 0)4-0 @ 1% ( 0)4-3 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 2.67% Total : 35.92% | 1-1 @ 9.34% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 7.03% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 2.35% ( 0)Other @ 0.5% Total : 22.32% | 1-2 @ 8.44% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.61% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5.08% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 4.23% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.05% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.3% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.91% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.38% 3-4 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 3.61% Total : 41.75% |
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