SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 45.18%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 31.59% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.3%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 2-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Crawley Town | Draw | Stockport County |
31.59% ( -0.41) | 23.22% ( 0.23) | 45.18% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 62.78% ( -1.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.49% ( -1.3) | 38.5% ( 1.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.2% ( -1.39) | 60.79% ( 1.39) |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.03% ( -0.87) | 23.96% ( 0.87) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.8% ( -1.26) | 58.2% ( 1.26) |
| Stockport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.56% ( -0.44) | 17.43% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.11% ( -0.77) | 47.88% ( 0.77) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crawley Town | Draw | Stockport County |
| 2-1 @ 7.45% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 5.97% ( 0.22)2-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 3.55% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 2.03% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.27% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.87% Total : 31.59% | 1-1 @ 10.42% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 6.51% ( -0.12)0-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.25)3-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.22% | 1-2 @ 9.11% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 7.3% ( 0.34)0-2 @ 6.37% ( 0.21)1-3 @ 5.3% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 3.79% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 3.71% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 2.32% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 1.65% ( -0.08)0-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.02% Total : 45.18% |
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