SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 50.23%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 28.12% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.3%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 2-1 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crawley Town | Draw | Stockport County |
28.12% ( -0.02) | 21.65% ( -0.02) | 50.23% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 66.33% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.11% ( 0.08) | 32.88% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.41% ( 0.09) | 54.59% ( -0.08) |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.72% ( 0.03) | 23.28% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.79% ( 0.04) | 57.2% ( -0.04) |
| Stockport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.45% ( 0.04) | 13.54% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.38% ( 0.07) | 40.62% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crawley Town | Draw | Stockport County |
| 2-1 @ 6.7% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 4.59% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 3.35% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.25% 3-2 @ 3.25% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.63% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.19% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0)Other @ 2.98% Total : 28.12% | 1-1 @ 9.19% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.69% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.15% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.45% Total : 21.65% | 1-2 @ 9.18% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.3% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.3% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 6.12% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 4.46% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 4.2% ( 0)1-4 @ 3.06% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 2.23% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 2.1% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.22% ( 0)3-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.97% Total : 50.23% |
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