Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 60.24%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Reggiana had a probability of 16.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.48%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a Reggiana win it was 0-1 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.
-0.02) 
0.04) 
