Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palermo win with a probability of 40.03%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 33.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palermo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palermo would win this match.

Result
Palermo	Draw	Cremonese
40.03% ( -0.68)	26.07% ( 0.07)	33.89% ( 0.61)

Both teams to score 53.64% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.22% (

-0.17)

50.78% (

0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.33% (

-0.15)

72.67% (

0.15)

Palermo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.02% (

-0.43)

24.97% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.38% (

-0.6)

59.62% (

0.6)

Cremonese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.5% (

0.3)

28.5% (

-0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.72% (

0.38)

64.27% (

-0.38)

Score Analysis

Palermo 40.03%

Cremonese 33.89%

Draw 26.07%

Palermo	Draw	Cremonese
1-0 @ 9.88% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.6% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 6.85% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 3.98% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 3.17% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.59% Total : 40.03%	1-1 @ 12.39% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.12% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.07%	0-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 7.78% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 5.61% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 3.26% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.69% Total : 33.89%