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Serie B | Gameweek 18
Dec 23, 2023 at 1pm UK
Stadio Giovanni Zini

Cremonese
4 - 0
Modena

Collocolo (16'), Pickel (29', 38'), Ghiglione (31')
Ravanelli (32'), Pickel (45')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Guiebre (21')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Cremonese and Modena.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FeralpiSalo 1-0 Cremonese
Saturday, December 16 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Modena 1-1 Cittadella
Saturday, December 16 at 1pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 53.32%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Modena had a probability of 22.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Modena win it was 0-1 (7.1%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cremonese would win this match.

Result
CremoneseDrawModena
53.32% (0.076000000000001 0.08) 24.57% (0.0040000000000013 0) 22.11% (-0.077000000000002 -0.08)
Both teams to score 49.92% (-0.111 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.38% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)51.62% (0.101 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.59% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)73.41% (0.087999999999994 0.09)
Cremonese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.69% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)19.31% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.93% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)51.07% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Modena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.87% (-0.131 -0.13)38.13% (0.134 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.11% (-0.129 -0.13)74.89% (0.133 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Cremonese 53.31%
    Modena 22.11%
    Draw 24.56%
CremoneseDrawModena
1-0 @ 12.1% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 9.96% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.6% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 5.46% (0.017 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.54% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.24% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.16% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 53.31%
1-1 @ 11.67%
0-0 @ 7.36% (0.029 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.63% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 24.56%
0-1 @ 7.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 5.63% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.42% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.81% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.49% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.1% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 22.11%

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Form Guide
Last Game: FeralpiSalo 1-0 Cremonese
Saturday, December 16 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Cremonese 1-0 Venezia
Saturday, December 9 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Pisa 0-0 Cremonese
Saturday, December 2 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Cremonese 1-0 Lecco
Saturday, November 25 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Brescia 0-3 Cremonese
Sunday, November 12 at 3.15pm in Serie B
Last Game: Cremonese 3-0 Spezia
Sunday, November 5 at 3.15pm in Serie B
Last Game: Modena 1-1 Cittadella
Saturday, December 16 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Como 2-1 Modena
Sunday, December 10 at 3.15pm in Serie B
Last Game: Modena 2-1 Reggiana
Saturday, December 2 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Parma 1-1 Modena
Saturday, November 25 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Modena 0-2 Sampdoria
Saturday, November 11 at 3.15pm in Serie B
Last Game: Catanzaro 1-2 Modena
Saturday, November 4 at 1pm in Serie B


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