Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 53.32%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Modena had a probability of 22.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Modena win it was 0-1 (7.1%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cremonese would win this match.
0.08) 
-0.08) 
