SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 40.3%. A win for Crusaders had a probability of 34.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Crusaders win was 1-0 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crusaders | Draw | Cliftonville |
34.57% ( -0.14) | 25.12% ( 0.03) | 40.3% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 57.03% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.52% ( -0.14) | 46.47% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.24% ( -0.13) | 68.75% ( 0.13) |
| Crusaders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.98% ( -0.14) | 26.01% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.96% ( -0.2) | 61.04% ( 0.2) |
| Cliftonville Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.08% ( -0) | 22.92% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.32% ( -0.01) | 56.68% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crusaders | Draw | Cliftonville |
| 1-0 @ 8.03% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.96% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.41% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.57% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.34% Total : 34.58% | 1-1 @ 11.82% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.96% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.11% | 0-1 @ 8.78% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.71% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.47% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 4.28% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.58% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0)Other @ 2.19% Total : 40.3% |
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