SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 37.77%. A win for Cliftonville had a probability of 37.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.37%) and 2-0 (5.96%). The likeliest Cliftonville win was 1-2 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Larne | Draw | Cliftonville |
37.77% ( 0.51) | 25.11% ( 0.3) | 37.11% ( -0.81) |
| Both teams to score 57.38% ( -1.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.85% ( -1.38) | 46.15% ( 1.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.55% ( -1.32) | 68.44% ( 1.31) |
| Larne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.92% ( -0.36) | 24.07% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.64% ( -0.51) | 58.35% ( 0.5) |
| Cliftonville Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.57% ( -1.06) | 24.42% ( 1.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.14% ( -1.52) | 58.85% ( 1.51) |
| Score Analysis |
| Larne | Draw | Cliftonville |
| 2-1 @ 8.4% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 8.37% ( 0.4)2-0 @ 5.96% ( 0.22)3-1 @ 3.99% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.83% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.97% Total : 37.77% | 1-1 @ 11.8% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.14)0-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.34)3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.1% | 1-2 @ 8.32% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 8.29% ( 0.23)0-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.91% ( -0.18)2-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.16)0-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.11)2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.09)0-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.91% Total : 37.11% |
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